If you had to name one cognitive bias as the greatest threat to building an accurate picture of the world around us, which would it be? Why?

Listed below are the types of biases and their descriptions to choose from. 

1.    Confirmation Bias: When faced with conflicting information, we’re more likely to believe reports that confirm what we already believe, rather than zeroing in on those reports that challenge our assumptions.

2.    “Anchoring” or “First Information” Bias: We tend to give greater weight to first reports on a situation rather than updating our assumptions continually as new information arises. 

3.    Consistency Bias: We tend to give more weight to conclusions drawn from 

4.    Missing Information Bias: We tend to focus on the information we know, and not the information we don’t know.

5.    Discredited Evidence: Even if a bit of information is proven wrong, we may still subconsciously include it in our thinking

6.    Vividness Bias. Our brains tend to seize on the vivid or shocking, rather than the ordinary. 3. Biases in Estimating Probabilities

7.    Availability Bias:  our thinking is heavily influenced by whether we have an emotional or experiential connection to a phenomenon. 

8.    Overconfidence Bias: We all tend to overestimate how much we know, especially if it’s an area where we have some expertise. 4. Biases in Perceiving Causality

9.    Rationality Bias: Our brains look for patterns. How many times have you heard that things “happen in threes?” We tend to look for patterns and reasons for events, rather than acknowledging that sometimes events are random. 

10.  Attribution Bias: We interpret others’ actions as reflecting some fixed quality. 

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